{"id":84519,"date":"2023-06-12T07:37:49","date_gmt":"2023-06-12T05:37:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.no\/blogg\/?p=84519"},"modified":"2023-06-12T07:38:28","modified_gmt":"2023-06-12T05:38:28","slug":"sp-500-opp-20-prosent-fra-bunnen-fed-i-fokus-denne-uken","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.no\/blogg\/sp-500-opp-20-prosent-fra-bunnen-fed-i-fokus-denne-uken\/","title":{"rendered":"S&amp;P 500 opp 20 prosent fra bunnen. Fed i fokus denne uken"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>De nordiske b\u00f8rsene i dag<\/strong>?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Vi tror Oslo B\u00f8rs vil \u00e5pne ned -0,4%, eller innenfor intervallet [-0,6, -0,2]%<\/li><li>Vi tror Stockholmsb\u00f8rsen vil \u00e5pne flatt, eller innenfor intervallet [-0,2, 0,2]%<\/li><li>Vi tror K\u00f8benhavnsb\u00f8rsen vil \u00e5pne opp 0,2%, eller innenfor intervallet [0, 0,4]%<\/li><li>Vi tror Helsingforsb\u00f8rsen vil \u00e5pne ned -0,1%, eller innenfor intervallet [-0,3, 0,1]%.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>De toneangivende indeksene i USA (S&amp;P 500, NASDAQ og DJIA) steg i snitt 0,1 prosent fredag<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Aksjene p\u00e5 Wall Street fortsatte \u00e5 stige p\u00e5 fredag, om enn moderat. Nasdaq-indeksen la p\u00e5 seg ytterligere 0,2 prosent, etterfulgt av S&amp;P 500 og Dow Jones indeksen som begge steg med 0,1 prosent. Det kan v\u00e6re verdt \u00e5 merke seg at S&amp;P 500 er opp 20 prosent fra bunnen, som for \u00f8vrig var 25 prosent ned fra toppen. En \u00f8kning p\u00e5 20 prosent eller mer fra nylige lavniv\u00e5er anses \u00e5 markere starten p\u00e5 et &#8220;bull market&#8221;. Med andre ord, det ser ut som S&amp;P 500 har gjennomg\u00e5tt en full syklus fra toppen (starten p\u00e5 et bear market) til bunnen (slutten p\u00e5 bear market) og deretter tilbake opp igjen (starten p\u00e5 et bull market). Men husk, disse begrepene er ikke definitive regler, men heller generelle retningslinjer som markedsakt\u00f8rer bruker for \u00e5 beskrive markedsstemningen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tesla Inc (4,1%), Adobe Inc. (3,4%), Advanced Micro Devices Inc (3,2%), toppet vinnerlisten blant selskapene som inng\u00e5r i Nasdaq-indeksen, mens Enphase Energy Inc (-3,8%), Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (-3,4%), Charter Communications Inc (-2,3%), endte p\u00e5 bunn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>De st\u00f8rste indeksene i Asia (NIKKEI 225, HANG SENG og SHANGHAI CSI 300) er ned -0,2 prosent i snitt mandag morgen.<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Utviklingen p\u00e5 de asiatiske b\u00f8rsene kan ha betydelig innflytelse p\u00e5 de europeiske markedene av flere \u00e5rsaker. For det f\u00f8rste, Asia representerer en betydelig andel av verdens\u00f8konomien og mange europeiske selskaper har omfattende handelsforbindelser med regionen. Derfor kan \u00f8konomiske endringer i Asia p\u00e5virke disse selskapenes inntjening og dermed aksjekursene. Det ble for \u00f8vrig en rolig start p\u00e5 b\u00f8rsuken i Asia mandag, dermed er det ingen drahjelp \u00e5 f\u00e5 fra den regionen i dag. Nikkei 225 (Japan) steg 0,2 prosent, mens Hang Seng-indeksen (Hong Kong) og Shanghai CSI 300 (Kina) er svakt ned i morgentimene.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Oljeprisen (Brent Blend) st\u00e5r n\u00e5 i 73,71 dollar per fat, ned -3,3 prosent fra fredagens niv\u00e5er. Gassprisen (Henry Hub Natural Gas) er opp 0,4 prosent i samme periode.<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Oljeprisen, samt dollaren har svekket seg de siste dagene. En svekkelse av b\u00e5de dollaren og oljeprisen kan ha flere positive effekter p\u00e5 verdens\u00f8konomien. En lavere dollar kan gj\u00f8re amerikanske varer og tjenester billigere for utenlandske kj\u00f8pere, stimulere eksporten fra USA, og lette gjeldsbyrden for land med mye dollar-denominert gjeld. P\u00e5 samme tid, lavere oljepriser kan \u00f8ke forbrukernes kj\u00f8pekraft, redusere inflasjonstrykket, og redusere produksjonskostnadene for bedrifter, spesielt i land som er netto import\u00f8rer av olje. Det er imidlertid viktig \u00e5 merke seg at begge disse utviklingstrekkene ogs\u00e5 kan ha negative konsekvenser, avhengig av spesifikke \u00f8konomiske forhold og landets rolle i den globale \u00f8konomien.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>1 USD koster i skrivende stund; 10,77 NOK, 10,84 SEK, 6,94 DKK og 0,93 EUR, mens 2- og 10-\u00e5rs renten i USA ligger p\u00e5 hhv. 4,61 og 3,75 prosent.<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Onsdag er det duket for nytt rentem\u00f8te i Fed, noe som etter alt \u00e5 d\u00f8mme vil prege finansmarkedene de neste dagene. Det ligger i kortene at styringsrenten i USA, Fed Funds Rate, vil holdes i ro p\u00e5 dette m\u00f8te og kanskje neste. Rentekurven i USA er for \u00f8vrig fortsatt invertert. En rentekurve kan bli invertert av flere grunner, men ofte skjer det n\u00e5r sentralbanken \u00f8ker de kortsiktige rentene for \u00e5 bremse inflasjonen. Dette kan f\u00f8re til at investorene forventer at \u00f8konomien vil bremse ned i fremtiden, og dermed er de villige til \u00e5 akseptere lavere renter p\u00e5 lang sikt. For at en invertert rentekurve skal bli normal igjen, m\u00e5 det v\u00e6re en endring i forventningene til fremtidig \u00f8konomisk aktivitet og\/eller inflasjon. Hvis sentralbanken reduserer de kortsiktige rentene, eller hvis \u00f8konomiske indikatorer tyder p\u00e5 sterkere \u00f8konomisk vekst i fremtiden, kan dette f\u00f8re til at langsiktige renter stiger i forhold til kortsiktige renter, noe som vil gjenopprette den normale, oppadg\u00e5ende rentekurven.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"fa-morgenrapportene-sendt-pa-e-post\">F\u00e5 morgenrapportene sendt p\u00e5 e-post<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Legg inn e-postadressen din i feltet under og f\u00e5 morgenrapportene sendt rett til innboksen din.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.nordnet.no\/contentful\/components?id=efjJZqZrJYhoSE4ht38LG&#038;embedded=true\" frameborder=\"0\" width=\"100%\" height=\"350px\"><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Viktig merknad: Informasjonen i denne teksten er kun ment \u00e5 v\u00e6re generell informasjon og skal ikke forst\u00e5s som investeringsr\u00e5d. Den representerer ikke en anbefaling om kj\u00f8p, salg, eller oppbevaring av noen form for verdipapir eller investeringsprodukt, og det er heller ikke ment \u00e5 gi personlig investeringsr\u00e5d. Form\u00e5let med b\u00f8rskommentaren er \u00e5 gi leseren innsikt i verdens\u00f8konomien og finansmarkedene, med hensikt \u00e5 \u00f8ke forst\u00e5elsen og kunnskapen om disse omr\u00e5dene.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Originalteksten som er skrevet p\u00e5 norsk, er oversatt til tre andre spr\u00e5k (svensk, dansk og finsk) ved hjelp av ChatGPT.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>S&amp;P 500 er opp 20% fra bunnen, som for \u00f8vrig var 25% ned fra toppen. En \u00f8kning p\u00e5 20 prosent eller mer fra nylige lavniv\u00e5er anses \u00e5 markere starten p\u00e5 et &#8220;bull market&#8221;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41261,"featured_media":75788,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3879],"tags":[5231],"class_list":["post-84519","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-morgenrapporter","tag-morgenoppdatering"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/05\/Nedgang_2-150x54.jpg","width":150,"height":54,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/05\/Nedgang_2-150x54.jpg 150w, 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