{"id":77590,"date":"2022-08-04T12:24:48","date_gmt":"2022-08-04T10:24:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.no\/blogg\/?p=77590"},"modified":"2026-03-11T17:39:16","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T16:39:16","slug":"pengepodden-oppsummering-av-borssommeren-er-bunnen-bak-oss","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.no\/blogg\/pengepodden-oppsummering-av-borssommeren-er-bunnen-bak-oss\/","title":{"rendered":"#pengepodden – Oppsummering av b\u00f8rssommeren"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

I denne episoden av #pengepodden oppsummerer Roger og Bj\u00f8rn Erik b\u00f8rssommeren. De stiller seg sp\u00f8rsm\u00e5let om bunnen i aksjemarkedet er bak oss, og g\u00e5r gjennom viktige drivere for aksjemarkedet: Renter, inflasjon, selskapsresultater, \u00f8konomisk vekst, geopolitikk og oljepris.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lytt til episoden her.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Er bunnen passert?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

(fra 04:16) Mange stiller seg sp\u00f8rsm\u00e5let: Er bunnen i aksjemarkedet bak oss? Eller er dette bare et \u201dbear market rally\u201d? Den forel\u00f8pige bunnen var i midten av juni. Siden den gang har det amerikanske aksjemarkedet steget med over 10 %. Bj\u00f8rn Erik og Roger g\u00e5r gjennom viktige drivere for aksjemarkedet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Inflasjon og renter:<\/strong> Inflasjonen er p\u00e5 rekordh\u00f8ye niv\u00e5er verden over. CPI er rundt 9 % i USA i juni, mye pga h\u00f8ye energi- og r\u00e5varepriser. FED har satt opp styringsrenten fra 0 i mars til dagens intervall p\u00e5 2,25-2,5 % med m\u00e5l om \u00e5 stagge inflasjonen. Bj\u00f8rn Erik poengterer at omtrent samme dag som langrentene toppet ut i USA i midten av juni, bunnet det amerikanske aksjemarkedet ut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Selskapsresultater: <\/strong>Jevnt over har vi sett gode kvartalstall fra de st\u00f8rste globale selskapene, forteller Roger.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00d8konomisk vekst: <\/strong>Det internasjonale pengefondet (IMF) har nedjustert vekstprognosen verdens\u00f8konomien nok en gang. Den siste prognosen viser 3,2 prosent global vekst i \u00e5r. I USA har vi n\u00e5 hatt to kvartaler p\u00e5 rad med negativ BNP-vekst, som normalt defineres som en resesjon. Definisjonen av resesjon diskuteres.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Geopolitikk: <\/strong>Krigen i Ukraina samt Kina \/ Taiwan- konflikten diskuteres.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oljepris: <\/strong>Oljeprisen er viktig b\u00e5de for Oslo B\u00f8rs og for verdens\u00f8konomien. En varig h\u00f8y oljepris bremser veksten i verdens\u00f8konomien.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Paralleller med 2008<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

(fra 40:30) Parallellen mellom situasjonen i 2008 \u2013 i forkant av finanskrisen \u2013 og dagens situasjon diskuteres p\u00e5 slutten. Den gang hadde vi et par \u201dbear market rallies\u201d f\u00f8r krakket kom h\u00f8sten 2008, da Lehman Brothers gikk overende. Kan oppgangen i juli i \u00e5r v\u00e6re et bear market rally, sp\u00f8r Bj\u00f8rn Erik. Ingen vet n\u00e5r neste krakk kommer, og det er vanskelig \u00e5 time markedet, fastsl\u00e5r begge. Regn med \u2013 og ta h\u00f8yde for – en halvering av aksjeverdiene hvert tiende \u00e5r, anbefaler Roger.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Abonner via RSS<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Abonner via Acast<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Abonner via iTunes<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Spotify<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

I denne episoden av #pengepodden oppsummerer Roger og Bj\u00f8rn Erik b\u00f8rssommeren. De stiller seg sp\u00f8rsm\u00e5let om bunnen i aksjemarkedet er bak oss, og g\u00e5r gjennom viktige drivere for aksjemarkedet: Renter, inflasjon, selskapsresultater, \u00f8konomisk vekst, geopolitikk og oljepris. Lytt til episoden her. Er bunnen passert? (fra 04:16) Mange stiller seg sp\u00f8rsm\u00e5let: Er bunnen i aksjemarkedet bak 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