{"id":60797,"date":"2021-01-04T12:13:12","date_gmt":"2021-01-04T11:13:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.no\/blogg\/?p=60797"},"modified":"2026-03-18T12:25:53","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T11:25:53","slug":"hvordan-gikk-det-egentlig-med-mine-nyttarsraketter-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.no\/blogg\/hvordan-gikk-det-egentlig-med-mine-nyttarsraketter-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Hvordan gikk det egentlig med mine nytt\u00e5rsraketter?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Et nytt \u00e5r er i gang og det er tid for \u00e5 gj\u00f8re opp status p\u00e5 de mye omtalte nytt\u00e5rsrakettene. Jeg skrev et innlegg den 15. desember og i dag er det tid for \u00e5 gj\u00f8re opp status. Tre uker er g\u00e5tt og vi skal da gj\u00f8re opp en status.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det har v\u00e6rt relativt f\u00e5 handelsdager p\u00e5 Oslo B\u00f8rs i julen, men allikevel har det v\u00e6rt god fart de dagene handelen var i gang.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jeg skrev i mitt innlegg den 15 desember at jeg hadde inndelt \u201crakettene\u201d i tre grupper. Fire av de beste aksjene i 2020, fire av de d\u00e5rligste aksjene og fire som jeg selv valgte ut. Jeg valgte ogs\u00e5 \u00e5 ta bort de aksjene som var i konkursproblemer, slik Seadrill og Norwegian er.
<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Slik s\u00e5 listen ut per 15 desember 2020<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
De fire beste i 2020<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>De fire d\u00e5rligste 2020<\/strong><\/td>Mads sine valg<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
ArcticZymes Technologies<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>Insr Insurance Group<\/strong><\/td>Goodtech<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Rec Silicon<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>Borr Drilling<\/strong><\/td>Aker BP<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
5th Planet Games<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>Shelf Drilling<\/strong><\/td>NEL<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Magnora<\/strong><\/td>Golden Energy Offshore Services (GEOS)<\/strong><\/td>Nordic Semiconductor<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Taktikken var ganske enkel. Jeg valgte noen av de beste aksjene i 2020, noen av de d\u00e5rligste og mine egne valg, basert p\u00e5 egne tanker.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hvordan har det g\u00e5tt?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Portef\u00f8ljens totalavkastning (alle aksjer likevektet)<\/strong><\/td>0,34%<\/strong><\/td>Oslo B\u00f8rs i perioden 4,76%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
ArcticZymes Technologies<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>Insr Insurance Group<\/strong><\/td>Goodtech<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Rec Silicon<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>Borr Drilling<\/strong><\/td>Aker BP<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
5th Planet Games<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>Shelf Drilling<\/strong><\/td>NEL<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Magnora<\/strong><\/td>Golden Energy Offshore Services (GEOS)<\/strong><\/td>Nordic Semiconductor<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Denne portef\u00f8ljen, best\u00e5ende av de d\u00e5rligste, beste og egne valg har alts\u00e5 steget 0,34 prosent mot Oslo B\u00f8rs indeks 4,76. Med andre ord taper hele portef\u00f8ljen med 4,4 prosent i forhold til indeks. Det er interessant og viser at man ikke skal v\u00e6re helt ukritisk til \u00e5 satse p\u00e5 disse rakettene.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Den lille forskjellen p\u00e5 \u201cmine\u201d nytt\u00e5rsraketter og andres er at 1\/3 av disse er mine egne utvalgte selskaper. Dette er selskaper jeg selv har hatt tro p\u00e5 enten skal fortsette \u00e5 stige, eller f\u00e5 en rebound. Dette fungerte p\u00e5 3 av 4 aksjer der den ene endte flat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u00e5, la oss se p\u00e5 de forskjellige gruppene og hvordan hvert enkelt selskap gjorde det<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

La oss starte med vinnerne for 2020<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vinnere i 2020<\/strong><\/td>Endring fra 15. des<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
ArcticZymes Technologies<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>-1,76 %<\/td><\/tr>
Rec Silicon<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>26 %<\/td><\/tr>
5th Planet Games<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>-26%<\/td><\/tr>
Magnora<\/strong><\/td>5,7 %<\/td><\/tr>
Totalavkastning ( likevektet)<\/strong><\/td>0,98 %<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u00c5rets vinnere taper alts\u00e5 3,78 prosent til indeksen i l\u00f8pet av disse tre ukene. En skulle tro at det \u00e5 kj\u00f8pe vinnere var det sikreste valget, men dette viser seg \u00e5 ikke stemme helt. N\u00e5 skal det sies at det er stor spredning i feltet, alt i fra Arctic Zymes som er +\/- flat, til REC og 5th Planet Games som har steget og falt nesten 30 prosent hver.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Videre ser vi p\u00e5 \u00e5rets tapere (justert for konkursbeskyttelse som nevnt i innlegg)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tapere i 2020<\/strong><\/td>Endring fra 15. des<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Insr Insurance Group<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>-39 %<\/td><\/tr>
Borr Drilling<\/strong><\/td>-18 %<\/td><\/tr>
Shelf Drilling<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>14%<\/td><\/tr>
Golden Energy Offshore Services (GEOS)<\/strong><\/td>13 %<\/td><\/tr>
Totalavkastning ( likevektet)<\/strong><\/td>-7,5 %<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

I denne tabellen ser vi virkelig store sprik, og du kan enten ha f\u00e5tt en grei avkastning (Shelf Drilling\/Golden Energy) eller en helt elendig avkastning (Insr\/Borr Drilling), men hadde du kj\u00f8pt hele portef\u00f8ljen s\u00e5 hadde du rett og slett tapt mye penger. Hadde du derimot unng\u00e5tt Insr s\u00e5 ville avkastningen v\u00e6rt p\u00e5 3 prosent, som ville v\u00e6rt helt ok. Men, alt i alt, s\u00e5 viser taktikken seg om \u00e5 kj\u00f8pe \u00e5rets tapere i 2020 seg som \u00e5 v\u00e6re en d\u00e5rlig taktikk. Du ville alts\u00e5 tapt 11 prosent i forhold til indeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Den siste delen er mine egne utvalgte aksjer. Dette legger jo litt press p\u00e5 meg, og det er jo litt flaut om jeg ikke sl\u00e5r b\u00f8rsen. Her er uansett fasit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mine raketter i 2020<\/strong><\/td>Endring fra 15. des<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Goodtech<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>2,7%<\/td><\/tr>
Aker BP<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>-0,02%<\/td><\/tr>
NEL<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>23%<\/td><\/tr>
Nordic Semiconductor<\/strong><\/strong><\/td>4,5 %<\/td><\/tr>
Totalavkastning ( likevektet)<\/strong><\/td>7,5%<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Som med de andre selskapene er det store sprik i feltet. Hadde jeg ikke hatt Nel i portef\u00f8ljen, ville jeg v\u00e6rt bak indeks. Min portef\u00f8lje ender derimot opp med en meravkastning p\u00e5 litt over 3 prosent poeng mot Oslo B\u00f8rs. Dette er ikke annet enn flaks, men g\u00f8y er det jo. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hva er s\u00e5 konklusjonen?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Det er store sprik i hvilke aksjer som har gjort det bra i denne perioden. Du kunne med kj\u00f8p av Rec eller Nel tjent gode. Om du derimot satset p\u00e5 Insr har du redusert din pengemengde med 39 prosent. L\u00e6rdommen er vel at man b\u00f8r spre og diversifisere sin portef\u00f8lje n\u00e5r man gj\u00f8r noe s\u00e5 risikofylt som \u00e5 kj\u00f8pe slike aksjer over en s\u00e5 kort periode.
<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dette er i andre \u00e5ret av datamateriale for flere slike fors\u00f8k fremover. Jeg skal for egen del fortsette med dette for hver eneste jul og forh\u00e5pentligvis vil man etterhvert finne et slags m\u00f8nster.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Disclaimer:<\/strong> dette er hverken en kj\u00f8ps eller salgsanbefaling. Jeg eide personlig ingen aksjer som blir nevnt i dette skrivet.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Et nytt \u00e5r er i gang og det er tid for \u00e5 gj\u00f8re opp status p\u00e5 de mye omtalte nytt\u00e5rsrakettene. Jeg skrev et innlegg den 15. desember og i dag er det tid for \u00e5 gj\u00f8re opp status. Tre uker er g\u00e5tt og vi skal da gj\u00f8re opp en status. Det har v\u00e6rt relativt f\u00e5 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40087,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[6697],"tags":[3962],"class_list":["post-60797","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analyser-innsikt","tag-toppsak"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2018\/08\/1200x628-Mads-150x79.jpg","width":150,"height":79,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2018\/08\/1200x628-Mads-150x79.jpg 150w, 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