{"id":45350,"date":"2019-08-19T14:05:56","date_gmt":"2019-08-19T12:05:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.no\/blogg\/?p=45350"},"modified":"2026-03-18T12:20:01","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T11:20:01","slug":"borsuro-i-tradisjonens-tro","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.no\/blogg\/borsuro-i-tradisjonens-tro\/","title":{"rendered":"B\u00f8rsuro: I tradisjonens tro…"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Oslo B\u00f8rs er, i likhet med de fleste andre b\u00f8rser rundt om i verden, i korreksjonsmodus, dvs. ned mer enn 10 % fra tidligere toppnoteringer. Den p\u00e5g\u00e5ende handelskrigen mellom USA og Kina er hoved\u00e5rsaken til det globale b\u00f8rsfallet. Videre, gitt den siste tids negative utvikling i handelskrigen, ser denne ut til \u00e5 bli langvarig. Mao. m\u00e5 man belage seg p\u00e5 mer av det samme utover h\u00f8sten (dvs. volatile markeder).<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lesetips 1: Handelskrigen \u00abThe Rumble in the (G-20) Jungle\u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Defensive aksjer p\u00e5 Oslo B\u00f8rs gj\u00f8r det skarpt. Sensitive aksjer derimot, sliter<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

I tradisjonens tro gj\u00f8r defensive aksjer det best i urolige tider som n\u00e5. Med defensive aksjer menes aksjer, hvis p\u00e5virkes mindre enn andre n\u00e5r de globale vekstutsiktene svekkes. Typiske defensive aksjer finner man innenfor konsumsektoren, helsesektoren og forsyningssektoren. Aksjer innenfor energi -og industrisektoren derimot, gj\u00f8r det normalt sett svakest n\u00e5r vekstimpulsene uteblir. Se egen tabell nedefor<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Utvikling: Norske aksjer – kategorisert etter aksjetype (defensiv, sensitiv eller syklisk)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Defensive aksjer<\/strong><\/td>Underliggende sektor<\/strong><\/td>Siste 3 m\u00e5neder<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Mowi<\/td>Consumer Staples<\/td>17 %<\/td><\/tr>
Orkla<\/td>Consumer Staples<\/td>5 %<\/td><\/tr>
SalMar<\/td>Consumer Staples<\/td>17 %<\/td><\/tr>
Ler\u00f8y Seafood Group<\/td>Consumer Staples<\/td>7 %<\/td><\/tr>
Bakkafrost<\/td>Consumer Staples<\/td>16 %<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td>12 % (gjennomsnitt)<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n
Sensitive aksjer<\/strong><\/td>Underliggende sektor<\/strong><\/td>Siste 3 m\u00e5neder<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Equinor<\/td>Energy<\/td>-18 %<\/td><\/tr>
Telenor<\/td>Telecommunication Services<\/td>7 %<\/td><\/tr>
Aker BP<\/td>Energy<\/td>-13 %<\/td><\/tr>
Tomra Systems<\/td>Industrials<\/td>0 %<\/td><\/tr>
Subsea 7<\/td>Energy<\/td>-23 %<\/td><\/tr>
TGS-NOPEC Geophysical Company<\/td>Energy<\/td>-15 %<\/td><\/tr>
DNO<\/td>Energy<\/td>-33 %<\/td><\/tr>
Elkem<\/td>Industrials<\/td>-26 %<\/td><\/tr>
BW Offshore Limited<\/td>Energy<\/td>-11 %<\/td><\/tr>
NEL<\/td>Industrials<\/td>-23 %<\/td><\/tr>
Golden Ocean Group<\/td>Industrials<\/td>6 %<\/td><\/tr>
Norwegian Air Shuttle<\/td>Industrials<\/td>-10 %<\/td><\/tr>
PGS<\/td>Energy<\/td>-36 %<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td>-15 % (gjennomsnitt)<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n
Sykliske aksjer<\/strong><\/td>Underliggende sektor<\/strong><\/td>Siste 3 m\u00e5neder<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
DNB<\/td>Financials<\/td>-4 %<\/td><\/tr>
Yara International<\/td>Materials<\/td>2 %<\/td><\/tr>
Gjensidige Forsikring<\/td>Financials<\/td>-2 %<\/td><\/tr>
Norsk Hydro<\/td>Materials<\/td>-17 %<\/td><\/tr>
Aker<\/td>Financials<\/td>-23 %<\/td><\/tr>
Schibsted ser. A<\/td>Consumer Discretionary<\/td>14 %<\/td><\/tr>
Storebrand<\/td>Financials<\/td>-21 %<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td><\/td>-8 % (gjennomsnitt)<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n\n\n\n

Kilde:<\/strong> Infront, per 16.08.2019<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En til to korreksjoner per \u00e5r?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Korreksjoner er en naturlig del av et aksjemarkeds utvikling, derfor b\u00f8r man som investor forholde seg til disse mest mulig rasjonelt. Dvs. unng\u00e5 \u00e5 f\u00e5 panikk og selge \u00absolide\u00bb selskaper til \u00ablav\u00bb pris. Selskaper med svake balanser derimot (selskaper med mye gjeld i forhold til egenkapital), kan v\u00e6re risikable \u00e5 ha i sine portef\u00f8ljer i urolige tider, da slike selskapers tilgang p\u00e5 n\u00f8dvendig kapital kan\/vil forsvinne i slike perioder.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I snitt har det v\u00e6rt en til to korreksjoner p\u00e5 Oslo B\u00f8rs hvert \u00e5r de siste 20 \u00e5rene, og i de fleste tilfeller har disse vist seg \u00e5 v\u00e6re forbig\u00e5ende. Det skal for \u00f8vrig sies at denne gangen har ogs\u00e5 utviklingstrekkene i rentemarkedet v\u00e6rt d\u00e5rlige. Dvs. de lange rentene (m\u00e5lt gjennom den amerikanske ti\u00e5rige statsrenten) er n\u00e5 lavere enn de korte (m\u00e5lt gjennom trem\u00e5neders renten, samt to \u00e5rsrenten). Dette er et fenomen som kalles – invertering av rentekurven – og inntreffer n\u00e5r markedet, eller investorene, tror det er en viss sannsynlighet for \u00f8konomisk resesjon innen overskuelig fremtid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lesetips 2: 4 sparer\u00e5d n\u00e5r b\u00f8rsen stuper<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lesetips 3: Hva betyr \u00abinvertert rentekurve\u00bb og hva gj\u00f8r dette med dine sparepenger?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Store muligheter for den langsiktige investor<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Korreksjoner eller st\u00f8rre tilbakeslag, i aksjemarkedene gir store muligheter for den langsiktige investor som da kan kj\u00f8pe \u00abbillige\u00bb aksjer, hvis kvalitet er god. P\u00e5 Oslo B\u00f8rs finnes det en rekke slike selskaper, deriblant Equinor. Equinors kvalitet er god pga. av dets sterke balanse, samt dets posisjon som premissleverand\u00f8r av olje og gass til Europa. Dvs. det er naturlig \u00e5 anta at selskapet evner \u00e5 komme igjennom st\u00f8rre tilbakeganger i global \u00f8konomi p\u00e5 en god m\u00e5te.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Oslo B\u00f8rs blir stadig mindre oljeavhengig<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Det er verdt \u00e5 merke seg at sektorsammensetningen p\u00e5 Oslo B\u00f8rs har endret seg vesentlig fra f\u00f8r og etter finanskrisen i 08\/09. Fra \u00e5 tidligere v\u00e6re en typisk olje-b\u00f8rs, har Oslo B\u00f8rs, pga. den enorme utviklingen innen sj\u00f8matsektoren, n\u00e5 blitt en mer balansert b\u00f8rs. Denne utviklingen har gjort Oslo B\u00f8rs vesentlig mer attraktiv for den langsiktige investor b\u00e5de i inn \u2013og utland <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Merk! Undertegnende eier aksjer i f\u00f8lgende selskaper som er nevnt i denne artikkel; Mowi, SalMar, Ler\u00f8y, Equinor, Aker BP, Tomra, Gjensidige Forsikring, Norsk Hydro og Schibsted.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Oslo B\u00f8rs er, i likhet med de fleste andre b\u00f8rser rundt om i verden, i korreksjonsmodus, dvs. ned mer enn 10 % fra tidligere toppnoteringer. Den p\u00e5g\u00e5ende handelskrigen mellom USA og Kina er hoved\u00e5rsaken til det globale b\u00f8rsfallet. Videre, gitt den siste tids negative utvikling i handelskrigen, ser denne ut til \u00e5 bli langvarig. Mao. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41261,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[6698],"tags":[3962],"class_list":["post-45350","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-markedsnyheter","tag-toppsak"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/06\/Roger-Bertnsen-1024x400-Svart-hvit-1-150x59.jpg","width":150,"height":59,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/06\/Roger-Bertnsen-1024x400-Svart-hvit-1-150x59.jpg 150w, 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