{"id":45170,"date":"2019-08-14T10:45:16","date_gmt":"2019-08-14T08:45:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.no\/blogg\/?p=45170"},"modified":"2026-03-18T12:20:01","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T11:20:01","slug":"handelskrigen-the-rumble-in-the-g-20-jungle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.no\/blogg\/handelskrigen-the-rumble-in-the-g-20-jungle\/","title":{"rendered":"Handelskrigen \u00abThe Rumble in the (G-20) Jungle\u00bb"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Hver dag i snart to \u00e5r har handelskrigen mellom USA og Kina preget nyhetsoverskriftene, da partene fremdeles har til gode \u00e5 komme til enighet. Men hvordan kan det ha seg at verdens to st\u00f8rste \u00f8konomier ikke klarer \u00e5 finne en felles plattform hva ang\u00e5r handel?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Er Kina en \u00abfremvoksende\u00bb \u00f8konomi, eller ikke? Det er det store sp\u00f8rsm\u00e5let<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Handelskrigens underliggende stridstema g\u00e5r dypere enn \u00abde\nfleste\u00bb er klar over, da dette i bunn og grunn handler om Kina fremdeles skal\nansees \u00e5 v\u00e6re en \u00abfremvoksende\u00bb \u00f8konomi, eller ikke.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Land som er klassifisert som \u00abfremvoksende\u00bb i WTO (Verdens\nhandelsorganisasjon), har vesentlige fordeler ved handel ovenfor \u00abutviklede\u00bb\nland som for eksempel USA. Fordelene g\u00e5r spesielt p\u00e5 tollsatser. I dag er det\n164 medlemsland i WTO, som til sammen representerer 98 % av global handel. 2\/3 av\ndisse er klassifisert som \u00abfremvoksende\u00bb, deriblant Kina. Trump hevder, med\ngode kort p\u00e5 h\u00e5nd, at det er \u00e5penbart at Kina ikke lenger er en \u00abfremvoksende\u00bb\n\u00f8konomi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00abUtdaterte\u00bb WTO regler redder Kina, men ikke resten av verden<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Kina ble medlem av WTO i 2001, p\u00e5 et tidspunkt da det var\n\u00e5penbart at landet var \u00e5 regne som \u00abfremvoksende\u00bb. Siden den gang har Kina\nopplevd en \u00f8konomiske vekst uten sidestykke, og har vokst seg til \u00e5 bli verdens\nnest st\u00f8rste \u00f8konomi. I tillegg har landet i denne perioden skaffet seg en betydelig\nmakt og innflytelse i alle verdensdeler, en makt som flittig brukes. Gitt dette\nkan det virke rart at landet fremdeles klassifiseres som \u00abfremvoksende\u00bb. Dette\nhenger sammen med WTOs regelverk, hvor det er opp til hvert enkelt land \u00e5\nklassifisere seg som det ene eller andre. Verdensbanken derimot, deler land inn\ni utviklingsklasser (inntektsklasser) med utgangspunkt i forholdet mellom det enkelte\nlands brutto nasjonalprodukt og innbyggertall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Verdensbankens grense for hvorvidt et land er kan regnes for \u00abutviklet\u00bb er p\u00e5 12.055 USD per innbygger. Gitt at Kinas forholdstall, p\u00e5 grunn det enorme folketallet, ligger under verdensbankens niv\u00e5 (var p\u00e5 9.770 i 2018), bruker landets myndigheter dette for hva det er verdt. Kina hevder landet kun skal regnes for \u00e5 v\u00e6re verdens st\u00f8rste \u00abfremvoksende\u00bb \u00f8konomi, og at de derfor har rett til bedre handelsbetingelser, vel vitende om at ubalansene i verden \u00f8ker fra dag til dag.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trumps eneste utvei er \u00e5 \u00abg\u00e5 i ringen\u00bb mot Xi Jinping under topplederm\u00f8tene\ni G-20<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Trumps problem er at Kina f\u00f8lger WTOs \u00abspilleregler\u00bb. N\u00e5r\ndet er sagt, dersom gjeldende regelverk i WTO ikke endres i disfav\u00f8r av Kina og\ni neste omgang India, vil \u00abubalansene\u00bb i handelen mellom dagens fremvoksende\n\u00f8konomier og de utviklede \u00e5 bare fortsette \u00e5 \u00f8ke. Trump ser seg n\u00e5 n\u00f8dt til \u00e5 bruke\nde viktigste globale arenaene, som topplederm\u00f8tene i G-20, aktivt for \u00e5 presse\nXi Jinping og Kina i kne.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hvem vet? Kanskje lar Trump seg inspirere av Muhammed Alis\ntaktikk da han beseiret George Foreman i 1974 i historiens mest minneverdige\nboksekamp \u00abThe Rumble in the Jungle\u00bb? Ali terget Forman gjennom \u00e5tte runder f\u00f8r\nhan vant p\u00e5 knockout. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Hver dag i snart to \u00e5r har handelskrigen mellom USA og Kina preget nyhetsoverskriftene, da partene fremdeles har til gode \u00e5 komme til enighet. Men hvordan kan det ha seg at verdens to st\u00f8rste \u00f8konomier ikke klarer \u00e5 finne en felles plattform hva ang\u00e5r handel? Er Kina en \u00abfremvoksende\u00bb \u00f8konomi, eller ikke? Det er det […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41261,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[6698],"tags":[3962],"class_list":["post-45170","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-markedsnyheter","tag-toppsak"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/08\/Box-1024x400-150x59.jpg","width":150,"height":59,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/08\/Box-1024x400-150x59.jpg 150w, 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