{"id":44849,"date":"2019-07-25T12:48:55","date_gmt":"2019-07-25T10:48:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.no\/blogg\/?p=44849"},"modified":"2026-03-18T12:18:58","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T11:18:58","slug":"equinor-skuffet-i-q2-men","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.no\/blogg\/equinor-skuffet-i-q2-men\/","title":{"rendered":"Equinor skuffet i Q2, men.."},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Equinor meldte f\u00f8r b\u00f8rs i dag, om vesentlig svakere resultater for 2. kvartal enn markedet hadde ventet. Lavere oppn\u00e5dde priser for b\u00e5de olje og gass i perioden, var hoved\u00e5rsaken til resultatmissen. N\u00e5r det er sagt, den underliggende kostnadsutviklingen overrasket p\u00e5 den positive siden. Aksjen \u00e5pnet ned 1,2 %, noe mindre enn mine egne beregninger p\u00e5 -2 %.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Langsiktig svekkelse i underliggende marked<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Oljemarkedet har svekket seg gradvis de siste 10-11 \u00e5rene. I\ndenne prosessen har en rekke oljerelaterte selskaper, spesielt innenfor\noljeservice, m\u00e5ttet kjempe for \u00e5 overleve. Equinor derimot, pga. dets st\u00f8rrelse,\noperasjonelle effektivitet og solide balanse, har klart \u00e5 styrke sin\nkonkurransekraft i perioden, spesielt de siste \u00e5rene (fra tiden etter Helge\nLund). En ledelse, hvis daglige fokus er \u00e5 styrke selskapets langsiktige\nkonkurransekraft, er den beste ledelse, i mine \u00f8yner. Mao. dagens\nEquinor-ledelse, med Eldar S\u00e6tre i spissen, gj\u00f8r, slik jeg ser det, en god jobb\nfor \u00e5 sikre aksjon\u00e6renes (eiernes) fremtidige verdier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Salget av Lundin aksjene kan bane vei for stor-fusjon p\u00e5 norsk sokkel<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

I 2016 kj\u00f8pte Equinor seg kraftig opp i Lundin, aksjer hvis nylig er solgt\/byttet mot st\u00f8rre eierandel i Johan sverdrup feltet. Selskapet uttrykte under kvartalspresentasjonen i dag, tilfredshet med salget av aksjene. N\u00e5r det er sagt, da selskapet kj\u00f8pte seg opp i Lundin, var nok m\u00e5let \u00e5 skaffe seg ytterligere kontroll i selskapet over tid. Mao. det nylige nedsalget kan derfor tenkes \u00e5 v\u00e6re en \u00abtvunget\u00bb prosess i intense forhandlinger mellom ulike parter i og rundt Lundin. N\u00e5r Equinor n\u00e5 er ute av Lundin kan dette bane vei for en stor-fusjon p\u00e5 norsk sokkel mellom Aker BP og Lundin, tror jeg. Gitt at begge selskapene er betydelige eiere i Johan sverdrup feltet, vil en tenkt fusjon mellom disse selskapene styrke deres relative makt ovenfor Equinor. Kampen om \u00f8kt \u00abkontroll\u00bb i Johan Sverdrup feltet virker \u00e5 v\u00e6re sv\u00e6rt viktig for b\u00e5de Equinor, Lundin og Aker BP. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pris vs. Verdi<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Equinor prises i dag, til 540 milliarder (NOK) p\u00e5 Oslo B\u00f8rs, tilsvarende 162,2 kroner per aksje. Dette er 44 % lavere enn det jeg mener selskapet er verdt (234 kroner per aksje). Selskapets underliggende inntjeningsvekst, m\u00e5lt gjennom \u00abowner earnings\u00bb er for \u00f8vrig p\u00e5 beskjedne 1 % (mine estimater). Gitt selskapets kvalitet (AA- rating fra S&P) fremst\u00e5r selskapet som en god investering for den langsiktige eier\/investor. Den tilsynelatende store forskjellen mellom pris og verdi kan, slik jeg ser det, tilskrives en oljepris som pga. avmatting i verdens\u00f8konomien, er vesentlig lavere enn den langsiktige likevektsprisen for olje. Det er for \u00f8vrig naturlig \u00e5 anta at avmatting i verdens\u00f8konomien skyldes effektene av den p\u00e5g\u00e5ende handelskrigen mellom USA og Kina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jeg eier aksjer i b\u00e5de Equinor og Aker BP<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Equinor og Aker BP, som er nevnt i denne kommentaren, er hhv. det st\u00f8rste og 6. st\u00f8rste selskapet i min norske aksjeportef\u00f8lje. Min norkse aksjeportef\u00f8lje kan for \u00f8vrig sees i sin helhet p\u00e5 Shareville.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Viktig! Denne kommentaren skal ikke under noen\nomstendigheter, oppfattes som investeringsr\u00e5d el. Den er kun ment \u00e5 gi et\ninnblikk i mine tanker\/vurderinger om selskapet som analytiker og\ninvestor\/potensiell investor<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Equinor meldte f\u00f8r b\u00f8rs i dag, om vesentlig svakere resultater for 2. kvartal enn markedet hadde ventet. Lavere oppn\u00e5dde priser for b\u00e5de olje og gass i perioden, var hoved\u00e5rsaken til resultatmissen. N\u00e5r det er sagt, den underliggende kostnadsutviklingen overrasket p\u00e5 den positive siden. Aksjen \u00e5pnet ned 1,2 %, noe mindre enn mine egne beregninger p\u00e5 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41261,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[6697],"tags":[3962],"class_list":["post-44849","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analyser-innsikt","tag-toppsak"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/06\/Roger-Bertnsen-1024x400-Svart-hvit-1-150x59.jpg","width":150,"height":59,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2019\/06\/Roger-Bertnsen-1024x400-Svart-hvit-1-150x59.jpg 150w, 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