{"id":36552,"date":"2018-12-11T15:25:12","date_gmt":"2018-12-11T14:25:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.no\/blogg\/?p=36552"},"modified":"2026-03-11T17:20:23","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T16:20:23","slug":"pengepodden-sparing-slik-takler-rentefondene-borsfallet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.no\/blogg\/pengepodden-sparing-slik-takler-rentefondene-borsfallet\/","title":{"rendered":"#pengepodden sparing \u2013 Slik takler rentefondene b\u00f8rsfallet"},"content":{"rendered":"

https:\/\/soundcloud.com\/pengepodden\/205-sparing-slik-takler-rentefondene-borsfallet<\/p>\n

Denne episoden av #pengepodden sparing handler om rentefond, om hvordan b\u00f8rsuroen p\u00e5virker rentemarkedene, og hvordan du skal g\u00e5 frem for \u00e5 finne riktig rentefond. Risiko og avkastning i high yield-fond diskuteres grundig.<\/p>\n

V\u00e5r spare\u00f8konom Bj\u00f8rn Erik har invitert portef\u00f8ljeforvalter Lars Kirkeby i Landkreditt Forvaltning. Han forvalter to rentefond: Landkreditt H\u00f8yrente, som er et kort obligasjonsfond, og Landkreditt Extra, som er et high yield fond.<\/p>\n

Bj\u00f8rn Erik og Lars g\u00e5r gjennom de tre ulike kategoriene av rentefond: Pengemarkedsfond, obligasjonsfond og high yield-fond\/h\u00f8yrentefond.<\/p>\n

Lars forklarer de to type risikofaktorene man har i et rentefond: Renterisiko og kredittrisiko. Han forteller videre at det er en utbredt misforst\u00e5else at alle rentefond faller n\u00e5r rentene stiger. Det er kun rentefond med lang rentedurasjon, dvs. lang rentebinding, som faller n\u00e5r rentene stiger.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Hvordan p\u00e5virker b\u00f8rsuroen verdien p\u00e5 rentefondene?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

(fra 11:07) Denne h\u00f8sten har omsider risikoen kommet tilbake i aksjemarkedene. Oslo B\u00f8rs har for eksempel falt ca 13 % siden toppen i slutten av september. Hvordan har denne aksjeuroen p\u00e5virket rentemarkedet i Norge og internasjonalt, sp\u00f8r Bj\u00f8rn Erik.<\/p>\n

Lars forteller at rentefond med lav kredittrisiko normalt har lav korrelasjon med aksjemarkedet, og har s\u00e5 langt ikke blitt p\u00e5virket av b\u00f8rsuroen. High yield-fond med lavere kredittkvalitet vil ha h\u00f8yere korrelasjon med aksjemarkedet, og p\u00e5virkes derfor mer.<\/p>\n

High yield-fondene i Norge og internasjonalt har likevel klart seg bra i hele \u00e5r, med unntak av siste m\u00e5ned. Da har uroen i aksjemarkedet gitt utslag i h\u00f8yere kredittspreader og negativ m\u00e5nedsavkastning.<\/p>\n

Vi m\u00e5 belage oss p\u00e5 st\u00f8rre svinginger i aksje- og rentemarkedet fremover, siden pengetrykkingen fra sentralbankene fases ut, mener han.<\/p>\n

Hvordan velge mellom ulike high yield-fond?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

(fra 29:23) Gutta snakker videre om hvordan man skal velge riktig high yield-fond. Et tips er \u00e5 se p\u00e5 risikojustert avkastning i fondet, m\u00e5lt ved sharpe ratio. Denne finnes p\u00e5 Morningstars nettsider.<\/p>\n

Et annet tips er \u00e5 se p\u00e5 diversifiseringen i fondet. Noen fond har en strategi \u00e5 spre risikoen s\u00e5 godt som mulig over ulike sektorer, mens andre har stor sektorkonsentrasjon. Sistnevnte har som regel h\u00f8yere risiko enn f\u00f8rstnevnte.<\/p>\n

Hva kan g\u00e5 galt for en renteforvalter?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

(fra 36:35) \u00c5 l\u00e5ne ut mye penger til et selskap som g\u00e5r overende er den st\u00f8rste feilen en renteforvalter kan gj\u00f8re.<\/p>\n

Bj\u00f8rn Erik sp\u00f8r om hvilke regler som gjelder for risikospredning i rentefond. Lars forteller at det er ordin\u00e6re europeiske UCITS-regler som gjelder, som blant annet sier at man m\u00e5 ha minimum 16 rentepapirer i et verdipapirfond.<\/p>\n

Lars forteller at Landkreditt H\u00f8yrente har maks 2 % av forvaltningskapitalen i hvert enkelt selskap. Landkreditt Extra tillater inntil 5 %.<\/p>\n

Ved en konkurs i et selskap er gjennomsnittlig recovery rate \u2013 tilbakebetalingsrate \u2013ca 40 % for internasjonale Investment Grade-papirer. I high yield markedet er snittet ca 20 %, forteller Lars.<\/p>\n

Norwegian-obligasjonene diskuteres spesielt, siden flyselskapet har l\u00e5nt mye penger i obligasjonsmarkedet. Selskapet har en ekstremt h\u00f8y gjeldsgrad, over 90 %. P\u00e5 grunn av svake regnskapstall sp\u00e5r n\u00e5 flere meglerhus, bl a Pareto, at flyselskapet kan v\u00e6re i n\u00e6rheten av \u00e5 bryte med l\u00e5nevilk\u00e5rene i f\u00f8rste kvartal 2019. H\u00f8r hva Lars mener om \u00e5 l\u00e5ne ut penger til Norwegian.<\/p>\n

Renteforventninger fremover<\/strong><\/h2>\n

(fra 45:08) Lars mener at det blir to renteheviniger i 2019 a 0,25 prosentpoeng, i tr\u00e5d med hva Norges Bank har signalisert. Etter 2019 er det stor usikkerhet om hva som skjer, spesielt med tanke p\u00e5 hva som skjer med amerikanske renter.<\/p>\n

Lars advarer mot \u00e5 velge rentefond med lang rentedurasjon, som en f\u00f8lge av at rentene er p\u00e5 vei oppover.<\/p>\n

Sp\u00f8rsm\u00e5l fra lytterne<\/strong><\/h2>\n

(fra 50:39)<\/p>\n

@flerepenger p\u00e5 Twitter sp\u00f8r om hvor stor risikoen er i et trygt rentefond sammenlignet med bankinnskudd?<\/p>\n

@_skifer p\u00e5 Twitter sp\u00f8r om hva som skjer med avkastningen i rentefond med antagelse om stigende renter og invers rentekurve.<\/p>\n

Det siste sp\u00f8rsm\u00e5let er fra investerings\u00f8konomen v\u00e5r: Finnes det gratissider p\u00e5 internett med oversikter over kurser p\u00e5 de ulike obligasjonsl\u00e5nene? Her kan Lars fortelle at mange av obligasjonsl\u00e5nene er notert p\u00e5 Oslo B\u00f8rs, og de har kursoversikt p\u00e5 sine nettsider<\/a>.<\/p>\n

H\u00f8r ogs\u00e5 v\u00e5r #pengepodden-episode fra mai i \u00e5r: Velg riktig rentefond<\/a><\/p>\n

Abonner via RSS<\/a><\/p>\n

F\u00f8lg p\u00e5 SoundCloud<\/a><\/p>\n

Abonner via iTunes<\/a><\/p>\n

Spotify<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

https:\/\/soundcloud.com\/pengepodden\/205-sparing-slik-takler-rentefondene-borsfallet Denne episoden av #pengepodden sparing handler om rentefond, om hvordan b\u00f8rsuroen p\u00e5virker rentemarkedene, og hvordan du skal g\u00e5 frem for \u00e5 finne riktig rentefond. Risiko og avkastning i high yield-fond diskuteres grundig. V\u00e5r spare\u00f8konom Bj\u00f8rn Erik har invitert portef\u00f8ljeforvalter Lars Kirkeby i Landkreditt Forvaltning. Han forvalter to rentefond: Landkreditt H\u00f8yrente, som er et kort 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