{"id":100805,"date":"2025-09-07T11:20:39","date_gmt":"2025-09-07T09:20:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.no\/blogg\/?p=100805"},"modified":"2026-03-18T15:10:00","modified_gmt":"2026-03-18T14:10:00","slug":"markedskommentar-fra-borea-august-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.no\/blogg\/markedskommentar-fra-borea-august-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Markedskommentar fra Borea – august 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

August ble en m\u00e5ned preget av kontraster \u2013 med all-time highs i aksjemarkedet og politisk lavm\u00e5l i Washington.<\/strong>P\u00e5 den ene siden feiret investorene rekordnoteringer i S&P\u202f500 og Nasdaq, drevet av sterke resultater og renteh\u00e5p. P\u00e5 den andre siden ble sentralbankens uavhengighet satt under press \u2013 og vi ble minnet om hvor viktig det er \u00e5 verne om den.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Den 28. august rundet S&P<\/strong>\u202f<\/strong>500 av m<\/strong>\u00e5<\/strong>neden med en ny all-time high, etter ogs<\/strong>\u00e5<\/strong>\u00e5<\/strong>ha satt intradag-rekord samme dag.<\/strong>Bakteppet var en kvartalssesong som oversteg forventningene, med samlet inntjeningsvekst som kom inn langt sterkere enn fryktet ved inngangen til rapporteringssesongen. Markedet svarte med bred risikoappetitt, men ogs\u00e5 med tydeligere differensiering: Vinnerne ble bel\u00f8nnet, mens selskaper som skuffet, ble straffet umiddelbart.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nvidia \u2013 ofte omtalt som verdens viktigste selskap \u2013 ble et tydelig eksempel p\u00e5 hvor selektivt markedet n\u00e5 handler.<\/strong>Tross solide tall og 56\u202f% omsetningsvekst, falt aksjen tilbake \u2013 hovedsakelig p\u00e5 grunn av \u00f8kende usikkerhet rundt Kina. Selskapet utelot all Kina-omsetning fra sin guiding for neste kvartal, samtidig som amerikanske eksportrestriksjoner legger begrensninger p\u00e5 hvilke brikker Nvidia i det hele tatt f\u00e5r lov til \u00e5 selge til det kinesiske markedet. Reaksjonen minner oss om at i et fremoverskuende marked med h\u00f8ye forventninger, holder det ikke bare \u00e5 levere sterke tall \u2013 investorene vil ogs\u00e5 ha klarhet og trygghet rundt veksten fremover.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det fremoverskuende markedet fikk enda mer \u00e5 tygge p\u00e5 da Powell entret podiet i Jackson Hole og begynte \u00e5 meisle ut arven sin.<\/strong>I det som trolig var hans siste tale som sentralbanksjef p\u00e5 det prestisjetunge symposiet, signaliserte han en forsiktig dreining mot lavere renter \u2013 uten \u00e5 gi noe klart tidsspor. Budskapet var kjent, men tonen mer forsont: Rentene holdes h\u00f8ye inntil videre, men d\u00f8ren til rentekutt st\u00e5r p\u00e5 gl\u00f8tt, s\u00e5 lenge inflasjonen fortsetter ned. Markedet tolket det som en duete beskjed fra en sentralbank som n\u00e5 vurderer \u00e5 lette p\u00e5 bremsen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Men ikke alle signaler om sentralbankens fremtid kom fra podiet i Wyoming \u2013 noen kom bokstavelig talt i store bokstaver fra Washington.<\/strong>Noen dager etter Jackson Hole-talen gikk Donald Trump ut p\u00e5 Truth Social og erkl\u00e6rte at han hadde sparket Lisa\u202fCook fra Federal Reserve \u2013 med henvisning til p\u00e5stander om boligl\u00e5nsbedrageri. Selv om det er h\u00f8yst uklart om et slikt grep faktisk er gjennomf\u00f8rbart \u2013 eller lovlig \u2013 satte utspillet sp\u00f8rsm\u00e5lstegn ved hvor robust den institusjonelle uavhengigheten egentlig er. Det er ikke f\u00f8rste gang Trump retter blikket mot Fed, men denne gangen var fors\u00f8ket mer direkte \u2013 og mer egnet til \u00e5 undergrave tilliten til sentralbankens uavhengighet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Det var ikke bare Fed som fikk f\u00f8le p\u00e5 presset fra Trump og hans st\u00f8ttespillere<\/strong>. Da Oljefondet ekskluderte Caterpillar for selskapets rolle i omfattende og ulovlig \u00f8deleggelse av palestinsk eiendom, svarte senator Lindsey Graham \u2013 en av Trumps n\u00e6rmeste allierte \u2013 at avgj\u00f8relsen ikke ville bli st\u00e5ende ubesvart. Han kalte den \u00abhinsides forn\u00e6rmende\u00bb og advarte om at \u00abdet \u00e5 gj\u00f8re forretninger med eller bes\u00f8ke Amerika er et privilegium\u00bb. Forel\u00f8pig har det ikke gitt de store utslagene i markedet, men hendelsen er en p\u00e5minnelse om hvor tett koblet utenrikspolitikk og investeringer n\u00e5 er blitt \u2013 ogs\u00e5 for Norge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Til tross for geopolitisk st\u00f8y og sporadisk skuffelse i enkeltselskaper, endte august som en god m\u00e5ned i de fleste markeder.<\/strong>Nasdaq var opp 0,9\u202f%, S&P 500 steg 2%. Her hjemme steg Oslo B\u00f8rs med 1,3%, mens det nordiske markedet var opp 1,9%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Med vennlig hilsen<\/strong>
Audhild Asheim Aab\u00f8
Portef\u00f8ljeforvalter,Borea Asset Management<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fint \u00e5 vite<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Dette blogginnlegget er ikke en anbefaling om \u00e5 kj\u00f8pe eller selge verdipapirer. Innlegget er utarbeidet for informasjonsform\u00e5l og m\u00e5 ikke oppfattes som investeringsr\u00e5dgivning. Historisk avkastning er ingen garanti for fremtidig avkastning. Det er en risiko for at du ikke f\u00e5r tilbake de investerte pengene.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

August ble en m\u00e5ned preget av kontraster \u2013 med all-time highs i aksjemarkedet og politisk lavm\u00e5l i Washington.P\u00e5 den ene siden feiret investorene rekordnoteringer i S&P\u202f500 og Nasdaq, drevet av sterke resultater og renteh\u00e5p. P\u00e5 den andre siden ble sentralbankens uavhengighet satt under press \u2013 og vi ble minnet om hvor viktig det er \u00e5 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":68640,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[6698],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-100805","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-markedsnyheter"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/09\/Audhild-Borea-2-150x59.png","width":150,"height":59,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/09\/Audhild-Borea-2-150x59.png 150w, https:\/\/blogg.nordnet.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/09\/Audhild-Borea-2-620x242.png 620w, 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